F1 2025 Mexican Grand Prix weather forecast – latest from Mexico City
F1 2025 Mexican Grand Prix: Weather Forecast Set for a Hot and Dry Weekend in Mexico City
By Hugo Harvey | October 25, 2025
The Formula 1 circus has touched down in Mexico City for the 2025 Mexican Grand Prix, and all eyes are on the simmering championship battle between McLaren’s talented duo and Red Bull’s relentless Max Verstappen. After a commanding display at the United States Grand Prix in Austin last weekend, the Dutchman arrives in Mexico brimming with confidence and with momentum firmly on his side.
Verstappen’s triumph at the Circuit of the Americas marked his fifth victory of the season, achieved in emphatic fashion. He swept the sprint race, qualifying session, and the Grand Prix itself, leaving little doubt that his title aspirations remain alive and strong. As the championship heads into its final stretch, the reigning four-time world champion now trails Oscar Piastri by just 40 points, while Piastri’s McLaren teammate Lando Norris has managed to narrow the gap to his team-mate to just 14 points.
The Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, located in the heart of Mexico City, is expected to serve as another thrilling battleground between these front-runners. With five rounds remaining in the 2025 campaign, every session, every lap, and every strategy call could prove decisive in shaping the final outcome of this season’s title fight.
However, unlike the dramatic and unpredictable weather conditions often seen at recent races, this weekend’s Mexican Grand Prix appears set for calm, dry, and sunny conditions throughout. The absence of rain means that the weekend will likely hinge purely on driver performance, car setup, and tyre management — factors that could play perfectly into Verstappen’s and McLaren’s hands.
Saturday, October 25 – Qualifying Forecast
Saturday’s qualifying session promises ideal track conditions for fast laps. The final practice session is expected to unfold under clear skies, and by the time qualifying begins at 3 p.m. local time, the Mexican sun will be shining brightly over the circuit. Temperatures are forecast to reach around 26°C, with a “real feel” closer to 25°C due to mild air movement.
The forecast indicates zero per cent chance of rain, ensuring uninterrupted running and allowing drivers to push their cars to the limit. A light, southbound breeze will drift across the track, though it’s unlikely to cause any significant challenges. This means teams can focus entirely on maximising performance without worrying about sudden weather changes or cooling conditions.
In short, Saturday looks set for a straightforward qualifying session where outright pace and tyre performance will decide grid positions. For the McLaren pair and Verstappen, securing pole position could be pivotal, given the narrow overtaking opportunities that the Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez typically presents.
Sunday, October 26 – Race Day Forecast
Fans hoping for a shake-up from unpredictable weather or sudden rain showers will likely be left disappointed. The weather outlook for race day remains consistent and stable, with sunshine dominating the skies over Mexico City.
The race is scheduled to begin at 2 p.m. local time (CST), and temperatures are expected to climb slightly higher than Saturday, peaking at around 27°C — the warmest point of the day. The forecast again predicts zero chance of rainfall, ensuring completely dry conditions from lights out to the chequered flag.
A gentle breeze from the north will provide minimal relief to both drivers and machines as they navigate the high-altitude circuit, which sits more than 2,200 metres above sea level. These conditions, while benign on the surface, do pose a unique challenge: thin air at this altitude affects engine power and cooling, meaning teams must carefully manage performance levels and brake temperatures to avoid overheating.
What It Means for the Race Weekend
With weather expected to remain stable throughout, the 2025 Mexican Grand Prix is shaping up to be a pure performance contest. Strategy will revolve around tyre degradation and pit-stop timing rather than weather gambles. Qualifying, in particular, will be critical — as track position often dictates race outcomes at this venue.
A McLaren driver has not stood on the top step of the podium since Piastri’s victory at the Dutch Grand Prix back in August, and the team will be eager to change that this weekend. Meanwhile, Verstappen’s surge in form makes him the driver to beat as he continues to close in on the McLaren pair in the championship standings.
With sunshine forecast, perfect track temperatures, and no rain clouds in sight, the Mexican Grand Prix promises to deliver a straight fight of skill, speed, and strategy — with no excuses and no external interference from the elements.
Formula 1 fans can expect a weekend of clear skies, high drama, and potentially pivotal developments in the world championship battle.
For the latest weather updates throughout the week leading up to the race, stay tuned — any last-minute changes could still influence team strategy and the unfolding championship storyline.
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